Thursday, December 13, 2007

Stock w00t

  • Recession starts next Tuesday at noon!

  • Good retail sales or bad?

  • Fed games

  • Everything you want to know about the Fed move but didn't know who to ask

  • Bankers at Work!

  • Who cares about inflation!

  • Central banks step in over credit crisis

  • Is this the beginning of the end of the credit crisis?

  • Are you feeling impatient on the Fed?

  • Rate forecasters still predict lower rates ahead

  • Behind Bernanke's bombshell

  • ECB warns of danger of a wider squeeze

  • Why the Fed bailout might not work

  • Worrisome bank statements

  • How not to fix the economy

  • "If the Fed needed a little help from its friends, or vice-versa, wouldn’t that suggest that the situation we’re seeing is far worse than even we know?" - Herb Greenberg

  • Up +21% over the past year, Harry Schultz thinks a financial tsunami is upon us

  • 20 takeaways from the Fed's move

  • Don't blame the Fed, blame bullish sentiment

  • O'Shaughnessy thinks the sell-off in U.S. bank stocks may have run its course

  • Financial advertisers show no fear

  • Hedge fund vet Leon Cooperman still thinks equities are a buy and shares some of his best picks

  • Bulls tie their hope to the jobs market

  • Jason Kelly suggests a smart way to play this market

  • Value is always in the eye of the beholder

  • Please remember, participation in this market is optional

  • Points & Figures: an end-of-the-year rally appears possible

  • Hedge-fund guy is up SIV creek without a paddle

  • If you're sitting on 12% ytd gains, how are you going to spend the final two weeks of the year?

  • A historical look at the market’s history between now and after New Year’s Day

  • Time to buy? That's a big YES according to Morningstar

  • Four people offer perspectives for what's ahead for 2008

  • Why the housing sector collapse is wonderful

  • According to Standard & Poor's, about 27% of all the companies in danger of losing their investment-grade status are likely to do so because they are contemplating an acquisition or leveraged buyout

  • A few reasons to look at the utilities

  • Paul Tudor Jones has partnered with several big firms to form a new electronic venue for trading carbon greenhouse gases and other emissions

  • Easy comes as easy goes in the copper market

  • Sovereign funds should be watched with caution

  • Wall Street's big bang

  • 10 things every investor should know about U.S.-China Relations

  • Do you own Apple, Dell, or HP? If so, check out this research

  • Ho-Ho-Hoku

  • Everybody now loves AT&T!

  • For the right price, Cellcom may offer a decent income opportunity

  • IBD analyzes Baidu

  • I have been flooded with questions about Clean Energy Fuels probably because of this

  • According to Brush, these retailers could surprise the pessimists

  • Fortune provides 40 stocks to retire on

  • Harry Domash's 10 small stocks for a happy new year

  • 8 stocks to own in 2008

  • MSN CAPS finds 5 stocks with great potential

  • StockScouter picks are fairly widespread this week

  • Five stock disappointments in 2007

  • Morningstar's stocks that are priced to sell

  • 10 stocks with insider buying & buybacks

  • If you get the big picture right, stock picking gets easier

  • ThinkEquity provides a handy product checklist among other things

  • Wealthtrack profiles hot handed John Montgomery & Whitney Tilson

  • 10 ways to build trading discipline

  • Diversification and Portfolio Weighting

  • A stock's price and value are entirely two different things

  • Johnny Chan shares some real-life game theory

  • 6 simple steps to achieve laser-like focus

  • 5 time-management tricks

  • Get started with Excel

  • "Trust yourself. You know more than you think you do." - Benjamin Spock

  • Roth IRA is the surest route to retirement-savings success

  • End-of-year financial checklist

  • Last minute tips for trimming your 2007 taxes

  • New tax brackets for all taxpayers

  • 11 year-end retirement moves

  • Kiplinger's names the best 529 college-savings plans

  • Trade on a Mac? VMware offers a solution that is getting good reviews

  • $20 bucks a year for phone service

  • A number of stock trading software & system utilities

  • Indicies Snapshot!

  • SectorCheck

  • Rupert Murdoch is already at work at the WSJ

  • The rich are taking it with them, at least as far as the mausoleum

  • Bermuda will soon become the the destination of choice for hedge funds

  • Track those Christmas packages!

  • Make the perfect holiday party drinks

  • Ron Paul beats Hillary Clinton

  • How saying thanks will make you happier

  • Mark Cuban on Warren Buffett, taxes and the presidency

  • "I am the luckiest guy in the world in terms of what I do for a living. No one can tell me to do things I don’t believe in or things I think are stupid." - Warren Buffett

    Posted by Kirk at 2:59 PM in Readings | Bookmark | Feeds | Link |


    Thursday, December 06, 2007

    Plugged In To The Market

    Posted by Kirk at 4:19 PM in Readings | Bookmark | Feeds | Link |


    Tuesday, December 04, 2007

    Links To The Kirk Report

    About every month try to remember to take a look at my website stats that measure how many visitors I have, where they are coming from, what posts/links they find the most interesting, etc. I'm always amazed by what topics interest readers the most (at least based on sheer popularity) and the global reach of the website.

    Although I don't do a good job of letting other websites know that I appreciate being linked to nor do I engage in quid pro quo link exchanges (i.e. "you link to me - I'll link to you" sort of nonsense), I continue to be amazed that so many people still find the time to visit this website with so many very good offerings out there.

    For me, it always serves as inspiration and also fires up my competitive spirit when I see how good of a job people are doing with sharing their thoughts and insights about the market. When I started writing about stocks and the market back in 1997, my bookmark list had about a handful of websites. Now, I could spend hours looking through what others now bring to the table.

    Over the past 30 days, here's a list of 50 websites that have sent at least 50 visitors my way. They are ranked in order of the most visitors I've received from those websites:

    There are some very good blogs within this list and I encourage you to visit them when you have some free time.

    Posted by Kirk at 11:09 AM in Readings | Bookmark | Feeds | Link |


    Monday, November 19, 2007

    The Dick Davis Dividend

    file dickdavis1.gif
    It has been an annual tradition around this time of the year to put together a list of recommended books that I find helpful for those looking to add items to their Christmas list and/or to buy books for others who may be interested in the markets. See my recommend reading lists from 2005 & 2006.

    In a major break away from that tradition, I really have just one book to recommend this year - The Dick Davis Dividend. Hands down, it is my favorite investment book of 2007.

    I was lucky to receive an advance copy and I will be buying many copies of it for my friends and family this year who also have expressed an interest in the market. It is currently available for pre-order at many online bookstores and will be widely available by mid-December.

    Mr. Davis has been a long-time member of The Kirk Report and has been my mentor for many years. In the interest of full disclosure, members should also know that his book does contain positive comments about me. Such comments were completely unsolicited and have absolutely no bearing on my response to the book or this recommendation. If I had been criticized or not mentioned at all, my opinion of the book would be the same. I urge you to read the book and judge for yourself.

    I'm also very excited to announce that I have invited Mr. Davis for the next members' only Q&A to talk about his 40 years of experience in the markets, his life, book, and legacy. You can read about Mr. Davis' background here. I'm highly confident that December's Q&A with Mr. Davis will be one of the best of 2007!

    Posted by Kirk at 10:40 AM in Readings | Bookmark | Feeds | Link |


    Wednesday, October 17, 2007

    Wall Street Watch

    Posted by Kirk at 12:26 PM in Readings | Bookmark | Feeds | Link |


    Tuesday, July 10, 2007

    Street Smarts

    Posted by Kirk at 4:24 PM in Readings | Bookmark | Feeds | Link |


    Thursday, July 05, 2007

    Wall Street Watch

    Posted by Kirk at 12:29 PM in Readings | Bookmark | Feeds | Link |


    Tuesday, July 03, 2007

    The American Hedge Fund

    In case you're wondering, right now I'm reading an advance copy of "An American Hedge Fund" by Timothy Sykes. So far I've enjoyed it quite a bit and will be adding it to my recommended reading list when I'm finished. The book isn’t out for sale just yet, but will be later this year.

    For a brief sample, here's a quote:

    "My best trades have occurred when I happened to glance at the markets and recognize an opportunity. While market study is important, it can lull you into a false sense of security; the first rule of the market is that it changes on a dime. Don't get sucked into trying to analyze every variable. The greatest opportunities stand out from the rest of the market noise, so observing the markets from a great distance allows for better hunting. Many traders weaken their profit potential before they enter a trade because obsessive research clouds their objectivity. After all their hard work, they cannot accept the fact that the most effective course of action might be the exact opposite of their findings. Great amounts of money are lost by people who adhere to their research without remaining flexible enough to respond to changing market conditions that occur at any particular moment. A stock can always turnaround in a hurry, but only fools count on their ability to predict those turnarounds for their livelihood. Short term trades that turn into long term situations often become the source of great financial and mental agony. Sometimes you need to acccept defeat and move onto new opportunites."

    Posted by Kirk at 10:06 AM in Readings | Bookmark | Feeds | Link |


    Wednesday, November 15, 2006

    The 100 Most Influential Books

    BooksWith the holidays fast approaching, I'm often asked which books I recommend for either gifts or for reading while traveling. So, like last year, I recently compiled a list of the top 100 most influential books I've read:

    • A Complete Guide to Technical Trading Tactics by John L. Person

    • A Short Course in Technical Trading by Perry J. Kaufman

    • Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk by Peter L. Bernstein

    • Beating the Street by Peter Lynch and John Rothchild

    • Blink: The Power of Thinking Without Thinking by Malcolm Gladwell

    • Bollinger on Bollinger Bands by John A. Bollinger

    • China Shakes the World: A Titan's Rise and Troubled Future by James Kynge

    • Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits by Philip A. Fisher

    • Contrarian Investment Strategies in the Next Generation by David Dreman

    • Creating Wealth: Retire in Ten Years by Robert G. Allen

    • Dave Landry on Swing Trading by Dave Landry

    • Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns by Thomas Bulkowski

    • Enhancing Trader Performance by Brett N. Steenbarger

    • Entries and Exits: Visits to 16 Trading Rooms by Dr. Alexander Elder

    • Evidence-Based Technical Analysis by David R. Aronson

    • Financial Fine Print: Uncovering a Company's True Value by Michelle Leder

    • Financial Freedom Through Electronic Day Trading by Van K. Tharp

    • Financial Shenanigans: Detect Accounting Gimmicks & Fraud by Howard M. Schilit

    • Fire Your Stock Analyst by Harry Domash

    • Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance by Nassim Nicholas Taleb

    • Fortune's Formula by William Poundstone

    • Four Steps to Trading Success by John F. Clayburg

    • Getting Started in Chart Patterns by Thomas Bulkowski

    • Getting Things Done by David Allen

    • Good to Great: Why Some Companies Make the Leap and Others Don't by Jim Collins

    • Hedge Fund Masters by Ari Kiev

    • Hedgehogging by Barton Biggs

    • High Probability Trading by Marcel Link

    • Hot Commodities by Jim Rogers

    • How Charts Can Help You in the Stock Market by William L. Jiler

    • How I Made 2,000,000 in the Stock Market by Nicolas Darvas

    • How to Buy Stocks by Louis Engel

    • Inside the House of Money by Steven Drobny

    • Intermarket Analysis: Profiting from Global Market Relationships by John J. Murphy

    • Investing with Exchange-Traded Funds Made Easy by Marvin Appel

    • It's When You Sell That Counts by Donald L. Cassidy

    • Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques by Steve Nison

    • John Neff on Investing by John Neff

    • Liar's Poker: Rising Through the Wreckage on Wall Street by Michael Lewis

    • Market Wizards by Jack D. Schwager

    • Mastering the Trade by John F. Carter

    • Methods of a Wall Street Master by Vic Sperandeo

    • New Market Timing Techniques by Thomas R. DeMark

    • Now, Discover Your Strengths by Marcus Buckingham

    • Option Volatility & Pricing: Advanced Trading Strategies by Sheldon Natenberg

    • Options for the Stock Investor by James B. Bittman

    • Options, Futures and Other Derivatives by John C. Hull

    • Pit Bull: Lessons from Wall Street's Champion Day Trader by Martin Schwartz

    • Pivot: How One Simple Turn in Attitude Can Lead to Success by Alan R. Zimmerman

    • Professional Stock Trading: System Design and Automation by Mark R. Conway

    • Reminences of a Stock Operator by Edwin Lefèvre

    • Rule #1: The Simple Strategy for Successful Investing by Phil Town

    • Screening the Market by Marc H. Gerstein

    • Secrets For Profiting in Bull and Bear Markets by Stan Weinstein

    • Stock Market Primer by Claude N. Rosenberg

    • Studies in Tape Reading by Rollo Tape

    • Sun Tzu on Investing by Curtis Montgomery

    • Technical Analysis Explained by Martin Pring

    • Technical Analysis of Stock Trends by Edwards and Magee

    • The Art of Low Risk Investing by Michael Zahorchak

    • The Essays of Warren Buffett : Lessons for Corporate America by Warren E. Buffett

    • The Four Pillars of Investing by William J. Bernstein

    • The Future for Investors by Jeremy Siegel

    • The Global-Investor Book of Investing Rules by Philip Jenks and Stephen Eckett

    • The Inner Game of Tennis by W. Timothy Gallwey

    • The Intelligent Investor by Benjamin Graham & Jason Zweig

    • The Master Swing Trader by Alan S. Farley

    • The Maui Millionaires by Diane Kennedy and David Finkel

    • The Millionaire Next Door by Thomas J. Stanley

    • The Misbehavior of Markets by Benoit Mandelbrot and Richard L. Hudson

    • The Neatest Little Guide to Stock Market Investing by Jason Kelly

    • The New Market Wizards by Jack D. Schwager

    • The New Money Masters by John Train

    • The New Science of Technical Analysis by Thomas R. Demark

    • The New Trader's Tax Solution by Ted Tesser

    • The Only Investment Guide You'll Ever Need by Andrew Tobias

    • The Psychology of Trading: Tools and Techniques by Brett N. Steenbarger

    • The Secrets of Economic Indicators by Bernard Baumohl

    • The Single Best Investment: Consistently Creating Wealth by Lowell Miller

    • The Stock Market Jungle by Michale Panzner

    • The Stock Trader's Almanac 2007 by Yale Hirsch

    • The Total Money Makeover: A Proven Plan for Financial Fitness by Dave Ramsey

    • The Vital Few vs. the Trivial Many by George Muzea

    • Timing the Market: Using the Yield Curve, TA, and Cultural Indicators by Deborah Weir

    • Trade Stocks & Commodities by Larry Williams

    • Trade Your Way to Financial Freedom by Van K. Tharp

    • Trader Vic II--Principles of Professional Speculation by Victor Sperandeo

    • Trading Classic Chart Patterns by Thomas Bulkowski

    • Trading for a Living by Alexander Elder

    • Trading in the Zone: Master the Market with Confidence by Mark Douglas

    • Trading Rules by William F. Eng

    • Trend Following by Michael W. Covel

    • Trend Trading: Timing Market Tides by Kedrick Brown

    • Ugly Americans by Ben Mezrich

    • Unconventional Success by David F. Swensen

    • Understanding Options by Michael Sincere

    • Way of Warrior Trader by Richard D. McCall

    • When to Sell by Justin Mamis and Robert Mamis

    • Winning on Wall Street by Martin Zweig

    • Yes, You Can Time The Market by Ben Stein

    Earlier this week I also asked readers to let me know if they had read any great books in the past year. Without any measure of doubt, the #1 book recommended by readers (by a large overwhelmingly margin) was Entries & Exits : Visits to 16 Trading Rooms by Dr. Alexander Elder.

    Happy reading!

    Posted by Kirk at 4:23 PM in Readings | Bookmark | Feeds | Link |


    Thursday, October 12, 2006

    Understanding Options

    UnderstandingoptionsDo you trade options? If I had a dollar for every time someone asked me that, I would be able to afford that dream house in Kauai by now. As many of you already know, options aren't "my thing." I'm a stock guy. I always have been, and probably always will be.

    However, I do realize that a growing number of you desire to learn more about options and frankly a basic understanding of how they work is an absolute must for everyone, even if you never intend to go that route in your own trading/investing. A book just out by Michael Sincere, called Understanding Options, is a very good choice. It is short, to the point, and I think offers a great primer for those of you who are new to options market. I skimmed over it in a couple of hours last night and I learned a few things. :)

    Posted by Kirk at 4:14 PM in Readings | Bookmark | Feeds | Link |


    Tuesday, December 06, 2005

    Stock Trader's Almanac 2006

    Almanac2006My new copy of Stock Trader's Almanac 2006 arrived in the mail yesterday and as usual I spent some to leafing through it. Among a few new book suggestions (they named Technical Analysis - Power Tools for Active Investors the best investment book of the year), I found a few handful of market stats that I'm sure will make the rounds as the gurus make their bold predictions for 2006.

    One that caught my eye is why a +50% gain in the Dow is possible from its 2006 low to its 2007 high (the logic follows that since 1914 the Dow has gained 50% on average from its midterm election year low to its subsequent high in the following pre-election year). There are other stats out there this year's Almanac covers and I'm sure you're going to hear various interpretations of them as the market forecasters look through their crystal balls.

    Posted by Kirk at 10:14 AM in Readings | Bookmark | Feeds | Link |


    Tuesday, April 12, 2005

    Random Thoughts & Readings

    Aflatscreen8_2

    • John Dorfman provides a top 10 list of places to find stock-picking ideas

    • BCA Research believes positive things are in store for the non-discretionary household products sector

    • Is the United States a debtor waiting to go bust or a huge demand engine powering the global economy?

    • Tobin Smith looks for market catalysts

    • Want a good real-estate short?

    • We watched Sideways last night on DVD. It was a good film (I liked it more than my wife). But, it left me wondering if there were any pure plays on growth of wine tasting. Any ideas? Let me know!

    • Jeffrey Saut makes his call for the week

    • "This week is options expiration week. Tuesdays and Thursdays of these weeks tend to be the strongest, while Wednesdays tend to be the weakest. As I stress every month, though, the most consistent bias of all is for weakness the day after expiration." - Jason Goepfert at Sentimentrader

    • No one can buy 100 stocks, but you can use Zack's list as a start point

    • The mismeasure of TV

    • Stocks between $21 & $40 where the odds favor near-term gains

    • The best-kept secret on Wall Street is corporate dividend reinvestment programs or DRIPs

    • With the market's latest grind, we're no longer in oversold territory

    • Here are some examples of hilariously bad behavior interviewers report as actually happening during interviews with potential job candidates

    • Thompson believes the most likely scenario is that oil prices will come down dramatically

    • Drug prices outstrip inflation?

    • Bill Fleckenstein sees gold as the beneficiary of an inevitable economic crisis of confidence

    • CXO finds that technical analysis can be significantly profitable when applied to relatively immature stock indices (NASDAQ Composite and Russell 2000), but not when applied to mature stock indices (DJIA and S&P 500)

    • How many buy signs make a bottom?

    • The booming market for armored cars

    • Real estate agents flood a hot market

    • Those who seek to find trouble rarely miss

    • Whitney Tilson shares a few of his 50-cent dollar stock picks with Wall Street Week

    • Trading tip: if you're losing, don't continue until you know why. Every trader knows when they're not doing their best, but the key is to adjust when you acknowledge it. Try to develop the ability to stop what you're doing, back up and re-evaluate before proceeding forward

    • Falling fortunes of the wage earner

    • The best time to buy gas is before lunchtime?

    • When you are right no one remembers; when you are wrong no one forgets

    • Have any $2 dollar bills laying around?

    • Bankruptcy will be a tougher road, but few options exist

    • If you're bored, you can always play with your change

    • I performed poorly in Fortune's corner office quiz

    • Trade-Ideas provides a handy stock screen which looks for stocks that have went down at least six consecutive trading days

    • The cold war begins anew?

    • No more free trades!

    • "The answers to three questions will determine your success or failure. (1) Can people trust you to do your best? (2) Are you committed to the task at hand? (3) Do you care about other people and show it? If the answers to all these questions are yes, there is no way you can fail." - Lou Holtz

    Posted by Kirk at 10:48 AM in Readings | Bookmark | Feeds | Link |


    Monday, March 21, 2005

    Jeremy Siegel & The Future For Investors

    ThefutureforinvestorsAfter watching Geoff Colvin's interview of Jeremy Siegel on Wall Street Week last weekend, I've decided to go ahead and purchase his new book titled "The Future for Investors: Why the Tried and True Triumph over the Bold and New."

    Siegel comes up with several extraordinary observations in this book that hold merit for those of us who make long-term investments. If you missed the interview, I highly recommend reading at least the transcript at Wall Street Week's website. Very interesting stuff! READ

    Posted by Kirk at 11:32 AM in Readings | Bookmark | Feeds | Link |


    Thursday, January 27, 2005

    What I'm Reading

    Aflatscreen1_15

    • Jon Markman reviews the cycle work of McClellan, Erlanger, and others

    • Did you know the tech insider sell/buy ratio has exploded to the upside? At the beginning of 2004, the ratio was less than 25 sellers per buyer. It has since soared above 150!

    • The sector projected to see the most M&A activity in 2005 is the technology sector, followed by manufacturing and distribution, and health care and life sciences

    • Growing tensions in Venezuela worry oil executives

    • Dr. Marc Faber provides his views on Japan

    • When we bought our home last July, I'm fairly sure the home appraisal was not accurate

    • In case you haven't heard, a new Oil ETF is under development. Let's just hope it performs better than the Gold ETF (GLD) after its debut

    • Is Alan Greenspan finally putting pressure on Dubya?

    • Investments in the agricultural commodities during recessionary times do pretty well

    • The New York Times looks at Chile's partially privatized social security system, which President Bush has called a "great example" for the U.S.

    • Yet another similarity between now and the conditions before the 1987 crash

    • If I were a long-term only investor, I would probably check my portfolio only about two times per month. As Bill Mann writes, frequent checking usually causes underperformance

    • As goes January, goes the year? As Doug Gillespie says, the stock bulls better hope not

    • Dorfman looks for turnaround candidates which have posted losses during the past four quarters

    • According to a Linda Killian, 51% of the companies that went public last year had poor to very poor governance practices

    • Jeremy Siegel believes that investing in the stocks of the fastest-growing companies is a bad idea because investors too often overpay for growth

    • You've got to know when to hold'em, and when to fold'em

    • Here is one less thing to look forward to over the next five years

    • The future of Netflix (NFLX) does look pretty grim

    • Daniel Gross at Slate takes a look at the new chicken economy

    • Is it a bullish sign that being a personal finance advisor is deemed this year's top most wanted job?

    • According to the usually upbeat McKinsey Global Institute, industrialized nations' annual growth in financial wealth will have slowed by two-thirds by 2025 due to massive demographic changes

    • Mark Hulbert joins the commodities bandwagon

    • Buyer beware in all stocks, but especially in the penny-stock world

    • Michael Brush lays out several strategies to profit from China's oil hunt

    • In a commodity boom, many investors see a gold mine in the equipment makers like Caterpillar (CAT), Bucyrus (BUCY), & Joy Global (JOYG)

    • As we've seen by the huge amount of inflows, many investors currently believe that emerging markets are no longer risky investments

    Posted by Kirk at 9:49 AM in