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Tuesday, January 22, 2008
Investing & Trading Lessons

In what has now become an annual tradition, I would like to share some investing and trading lessons that members sent to me in the 2008 membership survey.
When members were asked "What would you say is the most important thing you've learned about investing and/or trading in 2007?" this is how members responded (some of these lessons are very good to remember in these conditions):
Think more. Trade less
Keep it simple and listen to the market
What should happen does not always happen
Even the smartest guys in the room make mistakes (negative hedge fund returns, credit markets, etc.)
There is no rule that the market must act rationally
The market doesn't necessary reflect true economic conditions otherwise the best traders would be economists
Program trading is changing the market in significant ways
If you can't articulate what your edge is, then you don't have one!
Pick your spots. Avoid overtrading
Plan for the worst so you know what to do when it happens
The market is always right
Don't try to predict the markets. Look at the current situation the markets are in and base your decision on that situation
Most of the problems I have had are when I broke my own trading rules. (I said the same thing last year!)
I must be comfortable with my own system or strategy. It must fit my life, my own strengths, and my time available. Copying someone else's approach just because it works for them probably won't work for me
You must read the markets for what they are and not force what you think they should be doing
I learned that if you work hard enough, one could improve his/her sense of market sentiment and can more effectively time the market
Everyone has an opinion, but the only one that matters is yours
The market will do its best to confound the majority
If there is a perceived bubble, it is probably real and eventually there will be a correction
Our leaders (central banks) have no control over the financial markets
No one knows what is going to happen next. Do your "homework" is not realistic for most of us small investors
You get out of the market exactly what you put into it. The harder I work, the luckier I get
I have so much more to learn
Trading well doesn't require always being "right" about the market
Don't expect what worked before to always work in the future
The markets are becoming more complex and dangerous due to vastly increased use of sophisticated derivative products and due to powerful computer-based trading methods used by large institutions and hedge funds
No matter how hard you may try, you will never have 100% information on any stock
It's OK to be wrong
I have learned the importance of waiting for the fat pitch to deploy lots of capital (and using stop losses) rather then trying to grind out lots of trades by swinging at "non fat" pitches
That the market is all about timing and managing your mistakes
Learning how not to fight the tape is a harder lesson to learn than it seems
In spite of all of the hype, you can lose a lot of money in options
Here is what I've learned - I repeat the same mistakes every year
Execution is everything. Just because you know what you should do doesn't mean you will do it
Now I stick to the highest probability trades. For instance, a up-trending market leader, with an oversold RSI, at the 50-day, in a leading sector, is ripe for a bounce. So, with careful position sizing, I make those trades. I keep detailed spreadsheets, and notes, to keep track of my progress
I have to survive if I ever hope to thrive
Many more lessons from 2007 will be shared this week! Hopefully you'll find them helpful as we navigate this market.
* You may also find it also interesting to compare and contrast this year's lessons from those submitted a one year ago. See my Stock Market Lessons of 2006: Part I, Part II, & Part III
Posted by Kirk at 1:43 PM in Education | Bookmark | Feeds | Link |
