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Monday, May 22, 2006

Rumblings And Mumblings

Bear2_5

Posted by Kirk at 7:05 PM | Bookmark | Feeds | Link |


Searching For Strength

Another round of selling to start off the trading week.

My intraday scans are turning up very little (just more pain) but I am keeping my eyes on the tape while juggling a few other tasks (i.e. catching up on my reading, answering email, running a couple of longer-term screens, etc.) After market corrections, I always like to keep my eye on stocks that are setting 10-day highs (i.e. searching for strength amid weakness). As you can see below, the list is a fairly small one:

Es1

If turnaround Tuesday lives up to its reputation, it should be one to offer lots of rebound trading setups. How stocks perform in the final trading hour today will provide us with some clue to whether there is any conviction left in the buy-the-dip crowd.

Posted by Kirk at 12:43 PM in Analysis | Bookmark | Feeds | Link |


A Monkey Wrench

9_7Good morning. Weakness in overseas markets has produced a negative bias in premarket futures particularly since traders have no fresh economic data to ponder this morning. While that won't be the case later this week with the durable goods orders on Wednesday and GDP on Thursday, today traders have little to chew on other than last week's decline.

Premarket winners include VPHM, TLAB, CMTL, RSAS, TTWO, YHOO, ATVI, DYN, SBUX, SCSS, PACT, KBH, TMTA, NYER, and TASR. Premarket losers include TRID, GOLD, KRY, OPWV, PWAV, PEIX, TIE, NXG, SFE, GTE, EZM, XMSR, STKL, NTRI, PAAS, BIDU, HANS, BRCD, and RMBS.

We are oversold and with everyone looking for a bounce, sooner or later it will become a self-fulfilling prophecy. The questions that remain are 1) at what levels will this occur and 2) whether any snap-back rally will be sustained. I could make a strong argument for a snapback at these levels, but as far as the second question, that's where I'm quite uncertain. With the memorial holiday next Monday we also have a holiday trading environment coming up soon which certainly adds a monkey wrench into the mix. The market can and most likely will be manipulated by the elephants in any direction they want during this time frame as the majority focuses themselves on other things.

Between looking and hopefully finding a few small day trades this morning, I'll also be working on another random links post that I hope to have posted this afternoon. Have a good Monday!

Posted by Kirk at 9:13 AM in Preview | Bookmark | Feeds | Link |

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